Bleak Jobs Report Raises Red Flags on Recovery

Weak labor market expected to cause longer recession
By Rob Quinn,  Newser Staff
Posted Jul 3, 2009 5:54 AM CDT
Bleak Jobs Report Raises Red Flags on Recovery
Brochures and business cards are shown at a job fair in San Jose, Calif. last week.   (AP Photo/Paul Sakuma)

So much for those so-called green shoots of recovery. Yesterday's worse-than-expected unemployment report has far more red flags of warning on the jobs front, writes Moira Herbst in BusinessWeek. Among them: the average work week shrank to 33 hours, the lowest on record; hourly earnings remained flat; long-term unemployment rose to an all-time high; and temp workers, an important harbinger, took a big hit.

The shrinking pay packets are causing continued pessimism among consumers, leading many to expect a downturn that will last well into next year. The head of one employment firm believes the report shows the recession will be U-shaped rather than V-shaped. "We're bouncing along at the bottom of the U," he says. "The question is, when do we start making an upturn, and how much momentum does it have?" (More job stories.)

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