Nate Silver and two former colleagues at his FiveThirtyEight site staged a fantasy-football-style draft for the 2028 Democratic contenders, and it resulted in 18 names. Two notable takeaways: California Gov. Gavin Newsom was selected first, and only one non-politician made the list: Jon Stewart at No. 13. Silver discusses the results with John Guida of the New York Times, pointing out that these "are our picks based on who we think is most likely to be chosen by Democratic voters and delegates, not whom we would necessarily pick."
- The 18: Newsom, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Pete Buttigieg, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer; Sen. Ruben Gallego, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, Kamala Harris, Sen. Cory Booker, Sen. Raphael Warnock, Sen. Jon Ossoff, Sen. Mark Kelly, Stewart, Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, Rep. Ro Khanna, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, and Sen. Chris Murphy.
- Silver's own top 5: Given his druthers, Silver would pick, in order, Whitmer, Gallego, Shapiro, Warnock, and Ossoff, based on their "electoral overperformance."
Read the
full op-ed for more of the analysis.